Thoughts on our upcoming NCAA seed

With two games left, there's still a lot to factor in, but it's never too early to start pondering our seeding.

Right now, Joe Linardi (ESPN) has us as a #3 seed in the West regional (playing South Dakota State in Louisville). If we go 1-1, or even 0-2 over the last two game and get out of the first round of the conference tournament, I think that's about where we stay (a 3 seed).

However, if we win the conference (either finishing 1-1 or 2-0), and get to the conference title game, I think the committee will have to put us in at a 2 seed. The Big XII is one of the toughest conferences in the country (the toughest in my opinion), so winning the regular season crown should provide enough boost to get a 2 seed. But, we'll have to win the regular season title and at least have a decent showing in the conference tourney.

If the bottom falls out, and we lose the last two games and get knocked out of the first round of the conference tourney, I think the worst that we get seeded is 4.

As regions, I think the committee puts us in the MidWest as a 2 seed (playing in Omaha), or the West as a 3 seed (Louisville). If we happen to get a 4, I suspect they'll put us wherever they need a 4 seed (in other words, I don't think we'll get preferential treatment with the region we get put in).

 

My guess:

If we went 0-2, I think we would be a 4 or a 5 seed if we went 1-1 or 0-1 in the Big XII tournament.

If we win our last two, and have a decent showing in the Big XII tournament, I think we grab the 2 seed.

If we go 1-1, and win 1 or 2 games in the tourney, I think we get a 3. This is the scenario I would guess.

 

Hard to say, winning both games and even just one win in Big12 tourney would solidify a 3 seed, not sure about a 2. Would need current 2 seeders to falter as well.

Villanova, Wisc, Duke, KU... granted we could assist with moving KU down a line.

I would agree, Reg winner of Big12 has inside track to a #2 seed. Conf is tops this year.

 

BTW, I prefer this site..

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/

Takes in account all the numerous bracket possibilities out there.

 

4 or a 5

 

"I'm so confused..." Vinnie Barbarino

 

Im predicting a 4.

 

You and I are kinda on the same page.

It is kind of a guessing game at this point.

I was looking at this past week, and the teams (ranked ahead of us) that lost are:

3. Gonzaga
5. Wisconsin
8. Kansas
9. Notre Dame
10. Northern Iowa
12. Iowa State (twice)
13. Utah
15. North Carolina

Obviously the teams losing in the top 10 won't really affect our ranking, so I just threw those out. It's safe to say Iowa State will probably either fall just below us, or stay just ahead of us (in any event it doesn't matter, since we're playing them Monday). So, I figured we would move up to around 12/13 in the rankings this week. IF (and again, that's a big if) we go 2-0 this week, that would put us safely into the top 10.

The reason I bring up rankings is that I think the committee would almost feel obligated to put OU as a 2 seed if a) we were to win the conference regular season, and b) we are a top 10 team.

Even if we go 1-1 this week, I still think we grab a 2 seed.

The only thing that's in question (in my mind) is a 'worst case' scenario. I don't think we'll fall below a 4 seed (unless we just look terrible against KU/ISU and whoever we draw in the first conference tourney game). Then, I could see a possible 5 seed.

The best I think we can do is playing in Omaha as a 2. The worst is playing somewhere far away as a 4.

 

I think we would have to have a total meltdown to end up a 5 seed. But, you never know when selection time rolls around.

 

I think we have to win out...get to the championship game and win to get a #2.
We win out and only go 1-1 in tourney a #3 seed
We go 1-1 and get to the championship game we still might get a #3, win it and we will
We go 1-1 and go 1-1 in tourney, #4
We go 0-2 and get to championship game #4, MAYBE a #3 if we win it
We go 0-2 and go 1-1 or worse a #5.

Just my guesses...

 

5 seed was for if we lost to ISU and KU, and then lost our first game in the conference tournament. 5 seed means you're top 20, and I think we could potentially fall out of the top 20 with 3 straight losses.

 

Not sure it makes any difference. I don't see this team playing the second weekend of NCAA.

 

at this point...me neither. We'll see.

 

If we have a chance to win the Big 12, by all means make Kansas share.

I'd almost want that more than getting over our one-and-done NCAA roadblock at this point... mostly because I don't expect us to go far in the tourney.

But of course, I'd take a Sweet 16 over a shared Big 12 championship... I'd also take a Final Four over a Big 12 tourney championship... maybe I should make a flow chart?

 

I hope we can beat ku this sat...get the 3rd seed.

 

lookin like a 4 .

 

Agree.



5-0

 

I'm hoping for the 3, because that could potentially help us out a lot in terms of a long tournament run, but yeah...we're probably stuck at the 4.

 

Notre Dames win, and ISU's run probably knocked us down to the 4 line.

Baylor is right there too so is as chance we could snag a #3 and they drop to 4.

 

Lunardi still has us as a #3 seed which seemed pretty generous until I looked at it a little closer. When it gets right down to it, which number 4 seed would bump us? The thing OU has going for them is that none of the current #4 seeds on Lunardi's bracket has as many RPI 1-50 wins as OU (12). Not really even close. North Carolina (7), Baylor (8) Northern Iowa (3) Louisville (3). OU has more than any of the number 3 seeds except ISU. As a matter of fact they have as many or more than any of the number 2 seeds.