In my mind I think Boise needs to lose for us to get in given that we win out... However see this story from ESPN's Brad Edwards... Does this mean that they would take the ACC champs spot? That would be good for us too. Keep your eyes on the prize!
• Boise State held steady at No. 14 in the standings despite moving up one more spot in each poll. The Broncos offset that movement by dropping slightly in the computer ratings, thanks mostly to playing a 1-6 Fresno State team last week. But BSU's chances of playing in a major bowl game if undefeated are still very good.
A quick look at the BCS standings shows that several teams not too far in front of the Broncos are guaranteed to lose. Tennessee plays Arkansas, Rutgers plays West Virginia, and USC plays both Cal and Notre Dame. The other thing that will benefit Boise State is its remaining schedule. If it can survive road games against San Jose State (6-2) and Nevada (6-3), Boise State will finish a few spots higher than it currently finds itself in the computer ratings, and that would be a big help.
Even if Boise State never makes it into the top 12, it still has a decent chance to automatically earn a BCS berth. A clause states that the highest-ranked champion of the non-major conferences gets into the Bowl Championship Series if it is ranked in the top 16 of the final BCS standings and is higher-ranked than the champion of an automatic-qualifying conference. Right now, the highest-ranked team from the ACC is Georgia Tech, which is four places behind the Broncos.
Brad Edwards is a college football researcher at ESPN. His Road to the BCS appears weekly during the season.