UCF had their best season ever last year and beat a Baylor team that obviously didn't care about being at the Fiesta Bowl. Granted, O'Leary has them trending positively. USF hasn't done anything in a few years. Ohio is a mediocre to bad team traditionally in a subpar conference. They are at their apex right now with Solich giving them 4-6 loss seasons. The state of Ohio does have a lot of football talent that Ohio State doesn't get...so it goes to other places like Penn State, Michigan, Michigan State, Pitt, etc... Every now and then an academic casualty or two will end up at a program like Ohio and exceed.