Ok so I have been predicting 6 teams from the BigXII in the tourney since midseason, and I don't see any reason to change this. Here is my take on who is taken from the BigXII for the Big Dance.
Texas is in, no doubt, and probably a number 1 seed.
Kansas is in, no doubt, and probably a number 2 seed. From here on it gets murky.
Kansas St. is probably in, they won at home vs. Pitt and Cal, but they had a lackluster OOC add to that the fact that they are currently 4-6 over their last 10 and who knows, however they are guaranteed a .500 conference record, and they have a 1 and done player in Beasley, so they will probably be picked for the tourney at around a 5-7 seed.
Baylor is probably in the tourney, they won great games at Notre Dame and at USC in their OOC. On the other hand they have a 4-6 mark over their last 10 games as well, but it won't hurt them that bad. What will hurt them is the name of their school. I still see them as a 5-6 seed depending on where they finish and how much noise they make in the BigXII tourney.
Oklahoma State is out, there is not conceivable way for them to make a run to the tourney without winning the BigXII tourney. A terrible OOC, and only one quality win vs. Kansas. Even if they win at Texas and they won't there is no over looking the fact that they play like crap away from home. We have the tie breaker because they are probably going to finish 4-6 in the south unless we beat them tomorrow in stillwater and they will finish 3-7. Do they make a NIT bid is a far more worthy question.
Texas A&M is in but not over OU, mark my words there is are only two things they have over OU, and that is a win over Texas, and bigger preseason hype. They have a lower RPI and will have a lower RPI for the rest of the season. A nice OOC, and a good RPI will get them in to the tourney, probably as a 9 seed.
Texas Tech is out, again no way they take the Raiders over OU, again a worse RPI hurts them badly and a single good win in OOC (Gonzaga) leaves them praying for an NIT berth. Add to that the demolishing that Kansas put on them and they are out. If they had beat Stanford at home in December, they would be a more serious threat.
Oklahoma is in, and they are the 5th team to be taken for the tourney. Look at our RPI (30) look at our out of conference wins West Virginia, Gonzaga, and Arkansas, and look at an 8-8 conference record and the 5th seed in the BigXII tourney. That makes us all but a lock in my book, and I predict an 8 seed (maybe a rematch vs. Ark)...
If A&M lights up the BigXII tourney, they may go before us, but because Syracuse muffed that win on Saturday it all but locked it for the Sooners. What team are they going to take over us seriously? If they take 6 from the conference and we aren't one of those I'll eat my hat, I don't have a hat but you get my point.