Tropical Storm Dean

[OCUDad]

Tuesday, August 14, 2007, 7:36 AM PDT

MIAMI (AP) The National Hurricane Center says Tropical Storm Dean has formed in the open Atlantic.

[Mjcpr]

Was somebody out there in the open Atlantic ragging on the Harry Potter series?

[jk the sooner fan]

Was somebody out there in the open Atlantic ragging on the Harry Potter series?

no, the chipotle boat was bringing in a load of burrito meat

[colleyvillesooner]

Hurricane Dean would be a good band name

[yermom]

we so need a fark of the satellite image

[colleyvillesooner]

HEH

DEAN FORMS IN THE ATLANTIC: National Hurricane Center is tracking the season's fourth tropical storm over the open Atlantic Ocean. Track Dean (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4%2Bshtml/084023.shtml?5day#contents).

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES14452007226hl2aHP.jpg

[Boarder]

Dean looks pretty disorganized. I bet tropical wave calf runs it over.

[Paperclip]

Dean looks pretty disorganized. I bet tropical wave calf runs it over.

It may experience problems from tropical depression Chainsaw.

[Boomer.....]

http://img179.imageshack.us/img179/3343/deanmapwv4.gif

[dolemitesooner]

Dean looks pretty disorganized. I bet tropical wave calf runs it over.
SPEK!!!!

[OUDoc]

Wait until TS Dean sees all the fruity umbrella drinks in the Bahamas, then all hell will break loose.

[IB4OU2]

Another tropical storm named "Old Gus" may spin off that storm or it may just blow itself out...

[proud gonzo]

maybe that's why he hasn't been answering people's peems

[Sooner in Tampa]

Odds are 68/32 that Dean makes land fall in Florida

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200704.gif

[jk the sooner fan]

the weather dudes here think it will enter the gulf.....

watch out NOLA!

[OU Adonis]

Odds are 78/42 that Dean makes land fall in Florida

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200704.gif

Fixed it for you.

[SoonerStormchaser]

I'd be watching out for the inevitable chainsaw precipitation.

[C&CDean]

If this POS storm follows it's namesake it will make Katrina look like the little bizsnatch she was.

And I got y'all's calf and chainsaw swinging.

[picasso]

that must mean out there somewhere there's a Tropical Depression Sooner04.

[SoonerStormchaser]

Man...can you imagine if there was a Tropical Storm NickZepp?
It'd be the puniest tropical storm ever, but stick around long enough for everyone to complain about it.

Or Hurricane SicEm?
Only the males in its path would be endagered, because it would never have a chance of encountering any females. ;)

[jk the sooner fan]

careful there LT, you're opening yourself up for your own hurricane.....

[SoonerStormchaser]

Hurricane Stormchaser only goes after HAWT older women!

[Boomer.....]

:rolleyes: :D

[pb4ou]

http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/1166/tsdeantg1.gif (http://imageshack.us)

[picasso]

If this POS storm follows it's namesake it will make Katrina look like the little bizsnatch she was.

And I got y'all's calf and chainsaw swinging.
I dated a Katrina back in '99. girl had it goin on!

[Soonrboy]

I hope people are boarding up their taints.

[Paperclip]

girl had it goin on!

Were you on fire?

[Mjcpr]

Did she say "you're the king"?

[Blue]

Dean blowing a bunch of hot air...Imagine that.

[Czar Soonerov]

http://img528.imageshack.us/img528/8995/tsdeanvq0.jpg (http://imageshack.us)

[SoonerGirl06]

I think I'll eat a bowl of Queso while I wait and see which direction Dean blows.

:pop:

[OUDoc]

I think I'll eat a bowl of Queso while I wait and see which direction Dean blows.

:pop:
You'll "smell it" more than "see it".

[Sooner Born Sooner Bred]

Where does Ruby the Cow fit into all this?

[C&CDean]

I think I'll eat a bowl of Queso while I wait and see which direction Dean blows.

:pop:

Is that queso on your chin or are you just happy to see me?

[SoonerGirl06]

Is that queso on your chin or are you just happy to see me?

:D :D

Why it's queso... 100% pure Velveeta cheese!!!!

:D

[OCUDad]

Get a room, you two.

[Sooner in Tampa]

This is great news for us in the land of much sun

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200704_5day.gif

[colleyvillesooner]

They have been known to turn...:(

If it stays on that track, Cancun is up **** creek...again.

[colleyvillesooner]

Oh, and as the stupid TU fan in our section said over and over...

IT"S A HUUUUUUURRRRRRRRICANNEEEEEEEEEE!!!

[goodonya]

So this morning I get up and check the track predictions for the big blow and find that it's heading directly for the Texas coast where we just built a house. Great. We've already measured and cut the plywood, bought a generator, water and enough gasoline to immolate Ketch. Oldest son is returning to college in a week so he and I were going down tomorrow for a week of taking the boat offshore and banging some big tuna. Now it looks like we will be pulling out the window boards and moving the generator and gas up to the deck. The ****er is that the boat holds 200 gals. and that is our reserve for anything but a direct hit. Now we'll have to take it up river.

Whining complete. I'll keep you apprised if you're interested as we just got satellite internet installed down there.

If you are interested in the location go to:

http://maps.google.com/maps?f=s&utm_campaign=en&utm_source=en-ha-na-us-google-gm&utm_medium=ha&utm_term=google%20maps

and find Matagorda. There is a spit of land where the Colorado river flows into the gulf of Mex. We're on that spit between E. & W. Matagorda Bays.

[slickdawg]

The GFDL suggest a north central gulf landfall. last thing that area needs.

of course, models are not very good 6-8 days out.

[colleyvillesooner]

Oldest son is returning to college in a week so he and I were going down tomorrow for a week of taking the boat offshore and banging some big tuna.

http://img407.imageshack.us/img407/9677/smc0545rc1wu8.jpg

[yermom]

http://www.quotesfromtheoffice.com/_images/employees/jim_halpert.jpg

?

[colleyvillesooner]

heh

[colleyvillesooner]

Latest all models:

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_04.gif

[Boarder]

As usual the orange one is way out in left field. (or right field as the case may be)

[colleyvillesooner]

That's probably doleo's model :D

I've heard the GFDL is a good one, if so, that one could be susceptible to turning towards the gulf coast. Stays on track, and it could hit Houston or New Orleans head on.

[SoonerStormchaser]

Great, we're getting an assload of rain right now (5" today alone) and you mean that mean ol' Dean's gonna come down here next week and **** on me some more? Jeez :dean:, what'd I ever do to you? ;)

[OCUDad]

Hurricane Dean is only a Category 2? Pffft... wimp.

[C&CDean]

I got your cat 2.

[SoonerStormchaser]

^RIGHT THERE^
|___________|

[Viking Kitten]

I'm keeping my fingers crossed we make it to M.

Please, please, please... We gotta make it at least to M.

2007 Hurricane Names
Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dean
Erin
Felix
Gabrielle
Humberto
Ingrid
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Noel
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy

[soonerboomer93]

i'd laugh if they made it to Wendy


i'm just thinking of the possible headlines...

[jk the sooner fan]

i'd laugh if they made it to Wendy


i'm just thinking of the possible headlines...

even funnier if it hit Jamaica ;)

[Viking Kitten]

Windy Wendy Winds through Willikies?

[sanantoniosooner]

I'm tired of flooding.

[GottaHavePride]

You need flood control.

[jk the sooner fan]

even funnier if it hit Jamaica ;)

please, somebody get this

[sanantoniosooner]

4 inches of water in 1 hour is too much.

[OCUDad]

Welcome to Jamaica, Have a Nice Day

(just to make jk happy)

[jk the sooner fan]

Welcome to Jamaica, Have a Nice Day

(just to make jk happy)

thank you :)

[colleyvillesooner]

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200704_model.gif

If it follows the GFDL, it won't lose nearly as much strength as going over the Yucatan. That would be VERY bad for an already flood ravaged South Texas.

[OCUDad]

Headline in today's local paper: "Dean Threatens Gulf of Mexico."

[colleyvillesooner]

Oh, we're gonna get TONS of usable and funny headlines from this next week. :D

Lke this one:

http://www.cnn.com/2007/US/08/17/storms/index.html

Hurricane Dean pounds Martinique, Dominica, St. Lucia

Well Dean, how were they? ;)

[Boarder]

Dean To Take Over Where Erin Left Off

[colleyvillesooner]

Raw Video: Dean slams Martinique

:eek:

[Czar Soonerov]

Girl flees fearing Dean

:dean:

[colleyvillesooner]

This is perfect for a fark:

http://www.wunderground.com/data/storm_radar/dean04l.2007081700_anim.gif

[Sooner in Tampa]

Dean To Take Over Where Erin Left OffSo Dean is getting sloppy seconds :eek:

[Czar Soonerov]

Dean continues to grow, Erin downgraded

:dean:

[Czar Soonerov]

Hurricane Dean Plows Between Martinique, St. Lucia (Update4)

:dean:

[Czar Soonerov]

Dean to Dems on Rove: Don't get too cocky over it (http://news.google.com/news/url?sa=t&ct=us/1-0&fp=46c5a66fe981c1af&ei=X9HFRuuTO6a0oALP0oi4AQ&url=http%3A//www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/editorial/outlook/5061016.html&cid=1119506860)

:dean:

[TMcGee86]

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200704_model.gif

If it follows the GFDL, it won't lose nearly as much strength as going over the Yucatan. That would be VERY bad for an already flood ravaged South Texas.

:eek: I don't like the looks of that blue line at all.

And actually the white would be teh sux as well.

Looks like the fact that my sprinkler system is on the fritz is not going to be that big as big a deal as I thought. Mama nature is about to provide.

[colleyvillesooner]

Texas Soaked by Erin, Braces for Dean

Gross

[Mjcpr]

Texas Soaked by Erin, Braces for Dean

Gross

Clearly, Texas is a kinky whore.

[SoonerStormchaser]

Trust me guys, Texass is gonna get it next Wednesday.

[StoopTroup]

Clearly, Texas is a kinky whore.
Tell us something we didn't know.

[goodonya]

Dean continues to pound, Erin exhausted.

[StoopTroup]

Dean is like the Big Bad Wolf...

http://www.lewrockwell.com/rogers/wolf1.jpg

[slickdawg]

Dean, the hurricane, is now a category 3 hurricane, and will likely approach
category 5 strength in the western Carribean.

Model guidance goes from northern mexico to central louisiana in 5-6 days.

[colleyvillesooner]

Dean hates kids:


On St. Lucia, a former British colony just south of Martinique, Dean blew the corrugated metal roof off the pediatric ward at Victoria Hospital in Castries

[RUSH LIMBAUGH is my clone!]

The dems have done sent pore 'ol stupid George Bush over the line again, and he's responded with another hurricane headed toward Chocolate City, after giving them a year off, to clean up a little. Dayum him/them!

[slickdawg]

Lord, this thing is gonna be bad somewhere.


00
WTNT64 KNHC 180135
TCUAT4
HURRICANE DEAN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
930 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007


DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING HURRICANE DEAN INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO 145 MPH...CATEGORY FOUR ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[Newbomb Turk]

Lord, this thing is gonna be bad somewhere.


If I were a bettin man, I'd say 'somewhere' is your back yard.

[slickdawg]

:les: BUT THAT ****IN' PLAYHOUSE IS SECURED NOW!!!!!!

[Widescreen]

So is "4" good or does it still have some work to do to be considered a high level performer?

[soonerboomer93]

It's Dean, so it's gonna look all big and bad, and then just kinda peter out...


:pop:

:D

[OUinFLA]

4 is all you want it to be.

Hurricane Categories
Category 1
Winds of 64-82 knots (74-95 mph)
Storm surge 4 to 5 feet above normal

Category 2
Winds of 83-95 knots (96-110 mph)
Storm surge 6 to 8 feet above normal

Category 3
Winds of 96-113 knots (111-130 mph)
Storm surge 9 to 12 feet above normal

Category 4
Winds of 114 to 135 knots (131-155 mph)
Storm surge 13 to 18 feet above normal

Category 5
Winds above 135 knots (155 mph)
Storm surge more than 18 feet above normal

[slickdawg]

So is "4" good or does it still have some work to do to be considered a high level performer?


Katrina was a 4 when she crossed lower Placquemines Parish (the mouth of the Mississippi) and a category 3 when she crossed the Mississippi Gulf Coast and my old house.



Dean is still headed to WARMER water and less shear, so it will be a 5, depending on eyewall replacement cycles and such.

[slickdawg]

PS. The storm surge is also a function of the continental shelf. Katrina produced a 29 foot surge in Mississippi with the shallow shelf, that is why the flooding was so severe.

[OUinFLA]

If you live in Nawlins, you might not want to see this prediction from Weather Underground.

link (http://icons.wunderground.com/data/storm_radar/dean04l.2007081712_anim.gif?cache=183)

[Soonerus]

Wow for Nawl...

[OUinFLA]

http://www.accuweather.com/adc2004/common/images/hurricane/atcf/atl_AL04.png

[Soonerus]

That is not very helpful...

[OUinFLA]

want me to delete it?

[Soonerus]

No, I am just saying the weather guys are pretty broad in their projection...nothing against you...udamon !!!!!

[Widescreen]

want me to delete it?
I got lotsa stuff against you. FYI.

[OUinFLA]

I got lotsa stuff against you. FYI.

Your telescope must be more powerful than I thought?

[OUinFLA]

Jamaica is definately not the place to be right now.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_04.gif

[Soonerus]

looking more like mehico...

[GottaHavePride]

Neither is the Yucatan the place to be, apparently.

[Soonerus]

Neither is the Yucatan the place to be, apparently.

They seem to get hit about every other year....

[olevetonahill]

:les: BUT THAT ****IN' PLAYHOUSE IS SECURED NOW!!!!!!
When you collect ins. this Time . Hire me and My builder Buddy and His helper to Come do it rite
I work for beer , they work for Money ;)

[Soonerus]

When you collect ins. this Time . Hire me and My builder Buddy and His helper to Come do it rite
I work for beer , they work for Money ;)

To Nawlins or Yucitan...

[SoonerGirl06]

I think it would be cool to have a Hurricaine named after you.

[Widescreen]

Hurricane SoonerGirl06 doesn't exactly roll off the tongue.

;)

[Soonerus]

Hurricane SoonerGirl06 doesn't exactly roll off the tongue.

;)

pardon the pun...

[SoonerGirl06]

Hurricane SoonerGirl06 doesn't exactly roll off the tongue.

;)

:D :D

[OUTromBoNado]

So, when some place starts getting rain from Dean, would it be appropriate to ask, "Dean, are you peein'?"

[AlbqSooner]

So what you are saying is if the projected tracks are accurate, Texas is gonna get a major blowjob from Dean?

[colleyvillesooner]

Man, check out this GFDl model run. That looks like to me a direct hit of a Cat 5 to Houston.

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/storm_radar/dean04l.2007081800_anim.gif

[OUinFLA]

For you Houstonites,
I'd say it's time to pick up the trash out of the yard,
(1TC are you paying attention? You should do this even though you wont be getting Cat3 winds where you are.)

Beat the rush and start this weekend. Buy some supplies, secure the windows, gas up everything you can, and perhaps leave early for that trip to New Mexico that you've been putting off for years.

I'd imagine that by Wednesday traffic will become uncomfortable.
Monday seems like a good day to take some vacation time. You need the rest and relaxation anyway.

[TMcGee86]

I am definitely not leaving this time.

It took me 12 hours to get to Abilene last time, and I wasn't even fleeing the storm I was going to a dove hunt.

I live far enough inland that it shouldn't be much worse than a really bad t-storm.

[slickdawg]

I am definitely not leaving this time.

It took me 12 hours to get to Abilene last time, and I wasn't even fleeing the storm I was going to a dove hunt.

I live far enough inland that it shouldn't be much worse than a really bad t-storm.


Jackson Mississippi, over 100 miles inland, had Katrina pass to the east of the city, and still major damage was done. Lots of trees down, no electricity for a week, no gas available, etc.

[jk the sooner fan]

1tc doesnt live anywhere near houston

[sooner n houston]

I live near Houston and people are stocking up on supplies this time. After Rita no one is taking Dean lightly. I spent $100 on gas yesterday and went to Walmart this morning to get some water, they were almost sold out, I got the last 4 gallon jugs. I'd never seen so many stockers working so hard in WM in my life!

[colleyvillesooner]

Looks like all the computer models are slowly aligning....

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200704_model.gif

[OUinFLA]

1tc doesnt live anywhere near houston

I knew that, but I figured he needed to clean up his back yard anyway.

[slickdawg]

Yeah, but models can and do usually change. After 2-3 days out, its a crapshoot.

[slickdawg]

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/archive/model/AL042007mlts.gif?804660336

[josh09]

Its been awhile since Houston has been hit by a hurricane, i think were due for one.

Even Rita decided at the last minute to avoid us last year.

[SoonerInFla]

They can make all the computer models they want but these hurricanes are perfectly capable of going wherever they want. Check out Elena and Juan.


http://members.cox.net/watchmanbill/elana.gif
http://members.cox.net/watchmanbill/juan.gif