Readyfor8
9/11/2006, 08:00 PM
It's to early for stats I think but this is what I have to go on so far this year. May I also say that I have predicted the margin of victory for our first two games exactly. I also predicted the sexat vs. Ohio St. margin of victory. I should probably go to Vegas, seriously.
Offense
Passing
Oklahoma - 35 for 57, with 499 total yards, 4 TD's, 3 INT's, and 2 Sacks, 147.5 rating
Oregon - 44 for 66, with 476 total yards, 1 TD's, 0 INT's, 0 Sacks, 132.2 rating
Advantage - Even While we have a slight statistical edge, and I was unimpressed with Oregons outing vs. Fresno on Saturday. I am going to give the Ducks the benifit of the doubt on passing, although our passing offense has been a suprise positive this far into the season. Before the season started I would have put this heavily in Oregons favor.
Players to Watch
Quarterback:
OU: Paul Thompson - 33-57 for 499 yards, 4 TD's, 3 INT's, 2 Sacks, 147.5 Rating
Oregon: Dennis Dixon - 44-66 for 476 total yards with 1 TD, 132.2 Rating
Recieving:
OU:Malcom Kelly 9-149 and 2 TD's, Joe Jon Finley 6-117 and 1 TD, Adrian Peterson 3-75 and 1 TD, Fred Strong 7-74
Oregon: 9-148 and 1 TD, Garren Strong 7-81, Donte Rosario 5-80.
Rushing
Oklahoma - 64 attempts for 324 yards and 3 Touchdowns.
Oregon - 75 attempts for 437 yards and 8 Touchdowns.
Advantage - Oregon While I believe we have the best Running Back in the country in Adrian Petersen I am going to give the edge to Oregon based on thier Offensive Line. Jonathan "Snoop" Stewart was injured and the defenses they have faced are terrible vs. the run but they still have performed up to and above expectations here.
Players to Watch:
OU - Adrian Petersen - 56-304 and 3 Touchdowns
Oregon - Jonathan Stewart - 23-171 and 3 Touchdowns
Overall Offense - While Oregon is averaging 39.5 points a game, they played statistcally worse defensive teams Washington being slightly better than Stanford and UAB being statistically superior to Fresno St. I still feel it is too early to label a tougher schedule thus far until there are atleast 5 games in the season.
Advantage - Oregon Although I feel our Offense has performed above and beyond what was expected of it before the season started, I feel that Oregon has performed up to expectations on Offense. They are however a more one dimensional offense than what we saw last year at the end of the year, atleast statistcally.
Defense
Rushing
Oklahoma - 339 total, 169.5 yards per game, 2 TD's
Oregon - 306 total, 153 yards per game, 2 TD's
Advantage - Oklahoma While our defense has performed poorest in this category, of any other I have analyzed so far we still have given up only a few more yards than Oregon has in rushing. I doubt they have faced an Adrian Petersen yet either so I look for thier Rushing Defense to be exposed in a big way this weekend.
Passing
Oklahoma - 349 total yards, 174.5 yards per game, 2 TD's
Oregon - 374 total yards, 187 yards per game, 2 TD's, 2 INT's
Advantage - Oklahoma While Oklahoma is only ahead by a small margin statisically, they have also had a few plays that were longer than average. Also in watching the Fresno St. game I watched them throw all over the field, and I feel that Oklahoma has a true shutdown corner and a weak corner. This means that we take away one side of the field for Oregon. Oregon does have a few Interceptions that makes this a closer category, however I still feel that if we had some stickum on Carters gloves last week we would have had some of INT's as well.
Points
Oklahoma - 37 points total, 18.5 points per game
Oregon - 34 points total, 17.0 points per game
Advantage - Oklahoma While the margin of victory here is only a field I feel that Oklahoma has prevented more touchdowns and forced more Fieldgoals in the red zone that Oregon has. Also the trash time score by Washington swung this statistically in Oregons favor. I call this a slight margin.
Overall Defense - I feel our defense has underperformed up to this and Oregons defense has just performed up to par. However, our defense is a few busted plays away from a statiscal landslide in defensive stats. Also I felt that the defense gelled after the first play of the game vs. Washington. While Wolfe gave up a long passing play to set up another score, since Lindy Holmes came in our defense has been closer to what we expected.
Advantage - Oklahoma Statiscially we are a little behind in Rushing and Points given, but in those area's I feel we have performed above Oregon. If Oklahoma shows up and plays defense the way we did after the first play from scrimmage vs. Washington, I think we win this game.
Special Teams
Overall Special Teams - I found these stats and added them up myself by box score, so I am not publishing them. Oregons punter is averaging 40 yards per kick, while is not punting for Baylor (Punter-U) he is still doing nicely. Thier kick returns on the whole aren't spectacular statistically although they have only had 11 returnable kicks this year, and only two were over 20 yards. One however was for 57 yards but I doubt they will use Jonathan "Snoop" Stewart on kickoff returns this weekend. Oklahoma on the other hand has generated more than 300 yards in returns this year.
Both teams have had adequate kickoff and punt coverage, and thier extra point attempts are both perfect. Slight edge to Oklahoma in Field Goals however because Oregons Kicker is 3/4 with a long of 38 yards, and Garrett Hartley is 4/4 all outside of 30 yards with a long of 44.
Advantage - Oklahoma Special teams have been truely special this year, and in a good way. While Oregon is doing average Oklahoma is above average in everything but punting. An even bigger note here is Oregon has had a whopping 12 returnable kicks this year on Kickoffs which means we wont see many touchbacks on Saturday, instead we will see Jaquin or Reggie get a nice chunk of yards.
Game Summary
I feel that Oklahoma and Oregon both come into this game evenly matched, and while our defense has only played one good quarter they are statisically equal to Oregon. While Oregons Rushing game has been stellar this year, they also have had a single major blowout. Is Jonathan "Snoop" Stewart that good? Lets see if our rushing defense can show up this weekend.
Adrian should have a big game this weekend because of the big yards and wide holes I saw vs. Fresno St. on Saturday when they squared off with Oregon. Paul Thompson should be able to force Oregon to respect the pass, and pull men out of the box and if they don't we could be in for a long day.
Margin of Victory - Oklahoma by 4 points.
Offense
Passing
Oklahoma - 35 for 57, with 499 total yards, 4 TD's, 3 INT's, and 2 Sacks, 147.5 rating
Oregon - 44 for 66, with 476 total yards, 1 TD's, 0 INT's, 0 Sacks, 132.2 rating
Advantage - Even While we have a slight statistical edge, and I was unimpressed with Oregons outing vs. Fresno on Saturday. I am going to give the Ducks the benifit of the doubt on passing, although our passing offense has been a suprise positive this far into the season. Before the season started I would have put this heavily in Oregons favor.
Players to Watch
Quarterback:
OU: Paul Thompson - 33-57 for 499 yards, 4 TD's, 3 INT's, 2 Sacks, 147.5 Rating
Oregon: Dennis Dixon - 44-66 for 476 total yards with 1 TD, 132.2 Rating
Recieving:
OU:Malcom Kelly 9-149 and 2 TD's, Joe Jon Finley 6-117 and 1 TD, Adrian Peterson 3-75 and 1 TD, Fred Strong 7-74
Oregon: 9-148 and 1 TD, Garren Strong 7-81, Donte Rosario 5-80.
Rushing
Oklahoma - 64 attempts for 324 yards and 3 Touchdowns.
Oregon - 75 attempts for 437 yards and 8 Touchdowns.
Advantage - Oregon While I believe we have the best Running Back in the country in Adrian Petersen I am going to give the edge to Oregon based on thier Offensive Line. Jonathan "Snoop" Stewart was injured and the defenses they have faced are terrible vs. the run but they still have performed up to and above expectations here.
Players to Watch:
OU - Adrian Petersen - 56-304 and 3 Touchdowns
Oregon - Jonathan Stewart - 23-171 and 3 Touchdowns
Overall Offense - While Oregon is averaging 39.5 points a game, they played statistcally worse defensive teams Washington being slightly better than Stanford and UAB being statistically superior to Fresno St. I still feel it is too early to label a tougher schedule thus far until there are atleast 5 games in the season.
Advantage - Oregon Although I feel our Offense has performed above and beyond what was expected of it before the season started, I feel that Oregon has performed up to expectations on Offense. They are however a more one dimensional offense than what we saw last year at the end of the year, atleast statistcally.
Defense
Rushing
Oklahoma - 339 total, 169.5 yards per game, 2 TD's
Oregon - 306 total, 153 yards per game, 2 TD's
Advantage - Oklahoma While our defense has performed poorest in this category, of any other I have analyzed so far we still have given up only a few more yards than Oregon has in rushing. I doubt they have faced an Adrian Petersen yet either so I look for thier Rushing Defense to be exposed in a big way this weekend.
Passing
Oklahoma - 349 total yards, 174.5 yards per game, 2 TD's
Oregon - 374 total yards, 187 yards per game, 2 TD's, 2 INT's
Advantage - Oklahoma While Oklahoma is only ahead by a small margin statisically, they have also had a few plays that were longer than average. Also in watching the Fresno St. game I watched them throw all over the field, and I feel that Oklahoma has a true shutdown corner and a weak corner. This means that we take away one side of the field for Oregon. Oregon does have a few Interceptions that makes this a closer category, however I still feel that if we had some stickum on Carters gloves last week we would have had some of INT's as well.
Points
Oklahoma - 37 points total, 18.5 points per game
Oregon - 34 points total, 17.0 points per game
Advantage - Oklahoma While the margin of victory here is only a field I feel that Oklahoma has prevented more touchdowns and forced more Fieldgoals in the red zone that Oregon has. Also the trash time score by Washington swung this statistically in Oregons favor. I call this a slight margin.
Overall Defense - I feel our defense has underperformed up to this and Oregons defense has just performed up to par. However, our defense is a few busted plays away from a statiscal landslide in defensive stats. Also I felt that the defense gelled after the first play of the game vs. Washington. While Wolfe gave up a long passing play to set up another score, since Lindy Holmes came in our defense has been closer to what we expected.
Advantage - Oklahoma Statiscially we are a little behind in Rushing and Points given, but in those area's I feel we have performed above Oregon. If Oklahoma shows up and plays defense the way we did after the first play from scrimmage vs. Washington, I think we win this game.
Special Teams
Overall Special Teams - I found these stats and added them up myself by box score, so I am not publishing them. Oregons punter is averaging 40 yards per kick, while is not punting for Baylor (Punter-U) he is still doing nicely. Thier kick returns on the whole aren't spectacular statistically although they have only had 11 returnable kicks this year, and only two were over 20 yards. One however was for 57 yards but I doubt they will use Jonathan "Snoop" Stewart on kickoff returns this weekend. Oklahoma on the other hand has generated more than 300 yards in returns this year.
Both teams have had adequate kickoff and punt coverage, and thier extra point attempts are both perfect. Slight edge to Oklahoma in Field Goals however because Oregons Kicker is 3/4 with a long of 38 yards, and Garrett Hartley is 4/4 all outside of 30 yards with a long of 44.
Advantage - Oklahoma Special teams have been truely special this year, and in a good way. While Oregon is doing average Oklahoma is above average in everything but punting. An even bigger note here is Oregon has had a whopping 12 returnable kicks this year on Kickoffs which means we wont see many touchbacks on Saturday, instead we will see Jaquin or Reggie get a nice chunk of yards.
Game Summary
I feel that Oklahoma and Oregon both come into this game evenly matched, and while our defense has only played one good quarter they are statisically equal to Oregon. While Oregons Rushing game has been stellar this year, they also have had a single major blowout. Is Jonathan "Snoop" Stewart that good? Lets see if our rushing defense can show up this weekend.
Adrian should have a big game this weekend because of the big yards and wide holes I saw vs. Fresno St. on Saturday when they squared off with Oregon. Paul Thompson should be able to force Oregon to respect the pass, and pull men out of the box and if they don't we could be in for a long day.
Margin of Victory - Oklahoma by 4 points.