Do you hear that? Sagarin, OU #1

[XingTheRubicon]

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt08.htm



The first step in blowing by UT.


buh bye tejas.

[XingTheRubicon]

Laughing inwardly and outwardly









Jeff Sagarin NCAA football ratings

• Sagarin ratings index


All Contents Copyright © 2008 Jeff Sagarintm. All rights reserved.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2008 through results of 2008 NOVEMBER 29 SATURDAY
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is UNBIASED now.


this output has one part: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom


The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced
by each team in the games that it's played so far. The schedule
difficulty of a given game takes into account the rating of the
opponent and the location of the game.

In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 245 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.


To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.


The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.

For the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the ELO-CHESS is then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is now UNBIASED.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In ELO-CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games. The ELO-CHESS will be utilized by the Bowl Championship Series(BCS).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO-CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ _____________
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 November 29 Saturday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.83 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
1 Oklahoma A = 94.92 11 1 74.23( 17) 2 1 | 5 1 | 93.94 1 | 95.50 3
2 Texas A = 94.61 11 1 74.63( 12) 1 1 | 3 1 | 93.50 2 | 95.32 4
3 Florida A = 91.94 11 1 72.91( 28) 0 0 | 2 1 | 87.42 6 | 100.35 2
4 Southern California A = 90.73 10 1 72.52( 33) 1 0 | 3 1 | 85.80 8 | 100.73 1
5 Texas Tech A = 90.58 11 1 73.11( 26) 1 1 | 3 1 | 92.90 3 | 88.35 7
6 Alabama A = 90.27 12 0 68.66( 73) 0 0 | 3 0 | 90.68 4 | 89.43 6
7 Penn State A = 89.28 11 1 70.06( 59) 1 0 | 3 1 | 85.36 10 | 95.01 5
8 Utah A = 87.15 12 0 68.94( 72) 1 0 | 3 0 | 90.15 5 | 84.46 15
9 TCU A = 86.80 10 2 68.03( 76) 0 2 | 1 2 | 85.39 9 | 87.86 10
10 Ohio State A = 86.07 10 2 71.51( 43) 0 2 | 1 2 | 83.95 13 | 88.09 8

[OU-HSV]

Very interesting start to an exciting poll day

[OU-HSV]

I like the column that shows "vs. top 30". We are a dominating 5-1, good stuff right there

[TMcGee86]

it is... so sweet. Let's hope this continues. ESPN hype machine be damned.