Hurricane Gustav

[colleyvillesooner]

Looks like this could be the next bad one in the gulf early next week. Earlier in the week, it looked like it would drag across Cuba and weaken, but if it just skirts buy and heads into the Gulf as a hurricance already...yikes.

Hopefully it goes a different way...


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL0708W5_sm2+gif/144112W_sm.gif

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200807_model.gif.

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200807_climo.gif

[mdklatt]

Tropical wave to strong Cat I hurricane in one day, and the conditions for it are only going to get better as it goes north. The Gulf is like bath water.

[TMcGee86]

IT'S COMING RIGHT FOR US!!!1111!!1

http://images.usatoday.com/news/_photos/2003/05/15-inside-stack.jpg

[Bourbon St Sooner]

I hope you enjoyed that break on gas prices.

[mdklatt]

I hope you enjoyed that break on gas prices.

It wouldn't be a problem if dem libruhlz would let us drill offshore!

Oh wait....

[SoonerStormchaser]

Gas up now ladies and gentlemen...this thing is gonna hit the Gulf and prolly go all Katrina on LA again.

[colleyvillesooner]

Oh, and I believe the first tow pictures will update automatically as it progresses.

[SoonerStormchaser]

I think the NOGAPS model is prolly your best bet at this point.

[SoonerBorn68]

Gas up now ladies and gentlemen...this thing is gonna hit the Gulf and prolly go all Katrina on LA again.

Let's just get Obama in office now so he can divert this hurricane with his mighty hand and possibly turn it into an alternate fuel source.

[colleyvillesooner]

Hey, don't crap up this perfectly fine hurricane thread with politics bull****...

[TMcGee86]

I think the NOGAPS model is prolly your best bet at this point.

Ugh, I hope not. That would put it directly in line for a Texas strike though that would have it skirting the Yucatan which tends to weaken it a bit and seems to direct further south than Houston.

[SoonerBorn68]

Hey, don't crap up this perfectly fine hurricane thread with politics bull****...

wah. :rolleyes:

[SoonerStormchaser]

http://snltranscripts.jt.org/97/pics/97delnino.jpg

[SoonerStormchaser]

Ugh, I hope not. That would put it directly in line for a Texas strike though that would have it skirting the Yucatan which tends to weaken it a bit and seems to direct further south than Houston.

Dude...that's the UKMET model.

[Bourbon St Sooner]

Houston needs a real storm. Aren't you tired of these little ***** tropical storms. Come on! Stand up and show you can take a Cat 3!

[JohnnyMack]

Cheney isn't really going to Georgia. He's heading to the bunker to rev up the Hurricane Machine!!!

Oh noes!!1 Runs away!!!

[Turd_Ferguson]

I only believe what :gary: has to say. Somebody get Val on the getner:pop:

[Okla-homey]

Conjured by the donks to upstage the RNC convention next week.

[JohnnyMack]

Colley is gonna be pissed that we're totally fagging up his precious hurricane thread.

[colleyvillesooner]

My precious!!!

http://img58.imageshack.us/img58/8264/gollum2ha2.jpg

You are the master at fagging things up

[Penguin]

I, for one, welcome my new overlord, Gustav. Wipe these capitalist pigs off the map!

[TheHumanAlphabet]

My butt is puckered...

May need to do that honey do - cut plywood for windows - this weekend...

[TheHumanAlphabet]

Tropical wave to strong Cat I hurricane in one day, and the conditions for it are only going to get better as it goes north. The Gulf is like bath water.

Bet it hits cat 4 or 5. The Gulf is still warm and little steering currents, not much shear.

[mdklatt]

little steering currents, not much shear

The exact track is going to be difficult to predict.

[TUSooner]

Maybe I'll be there for the Cincinnati game. :O

[tommieharris91]

I hope you enjoyed that break on gas prices.

Meh, oil only went up $1 today.

[TMcGee86]

Dude...that's the UKMET model.

ahhh, so it is. Yeah I'm fine with that one. Let Florida have it.

[TheHumanAlphabet]

Where's John-John Mackey. We need to make that beyotch make us a sandwich!!!

[OUHOMER]

Figures, I am headed for playa del carmen in 11 days, I know this one will be gone, but it looks like there are 2 or 3 low pressure systems line up behind it.

[Bourbon St Sooner]

Well what do you expect when you're so cheap you go to the yucatan at the height of hurricane season just to save a few bucks ;)

[SoonerStormchaser]

Uh oh...NOGAPS has it going towards Baja Oklahoma.

[OUHOMER]

Well what do you expect when you're so cheap you go to the yucatan at the height of hurricane season just to save a few bucks ;)

You are correct sir:D

[OUHOMER]

Uh oh...NOGAPS has it going towards Baja Oklahoma.

I googled NOGAPS, It would not let me in....... Something abut a security risk.
So, young man, to fly that big ole plane about the storm and report back.
After the wife gets back on her feet of course.:D

[SoonerStormchaser]

I fly an AWACS, not a Hurricane Hunter.


Don't think that I wouldn't trade, though!

[colleyvillesooner]

Computer models seem to be aligning a little more.

Houston, we may have a problem.

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200807_model.gif

[SeattleOUstudent]

Yeah, this thing is going to blow to a cat 3.

Gas will be at $120 in 3 days.

[TMcGee86]

hmmmmm. This is starting to not look good. I may have jinxed my fellow Houstonians when I scoffed at the last "storm" that was so ferocious I had to water the next day.


I may be battening down the hatches here purtty soon.


However is it appears NOGAPS has a hankering for some New Orleans.

[en4cer]

Oil platforms in the gulf.


http://www.cruisebruise.com/gulf_of_mexico_oil_platorms.jpg

[batonrougesooner]

This could get interesting. We will know more in the next couple of days. Glad I'm back in OKC now. I was still living there during Katrinka.

[tommieharris91]

Yeah, this thing is going to blow to a cat 3.

Gas will be at $120 in 3 days.

Crude oil only went up $1 today. Gasoline had about a 3% jump today and nat. gas jumped about 5%, though.

[Blue]

man I was hammered last night.

edit-no red card?

[batonrougesooner]

Bull****. Fear-mongering ho's. Hurricanes come and go. And I live on the Gulf coast so you can spare me your Dust-Bowl expertise.

You better get some plywood on your windows. May get pretty rough there in Atlanta. :rolleyes:

[Okla-homey]

Bull****. Fear-mongering ho's. Hurricanes come and go. And I live on the Gulf coast so you can spare me your Dust-Bowl expertise.

Ironically, those are the now-famous last words of Cleophus Magillicuddy Brioche (1921-2003). Lifelong resident of New Orleans, LA. Later found floating face-down in three feet of water.;)

[colleyvillesooner]

Couple computers are now tracking it over Cuba. Which would weaken it and may kill Castro.

Win-Win.

[SeattleOUstudent]

Crude oil only went up $1 today. Gasoline had about a 3% jump today and nat. gas jumped about 5%, though.

Oil is trading at $118 now. :gary:

[SeattleOUstudent]

We saw it shift to the west yesterday. Today, the track has come back east a little. Fact of the matter is that these models will be pretty useless until this thing rounds Cuba. I tend to favor the GDFL. Once it gets into the gulf, however, its anyones guess. It could track towards Houston or turn N to New Orleans again. The weather systems in place in 3 days will be what will guide it.


Computer models seem to be aligning a little more.

Houston, we may have a problem.

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200807_model.gif

[SoonerStormchaser]

Basically...the NHC doesn't know **** about where it's really gonna go...anything in the Gulf is now fair game!

[mdklatt]

You better get some plywood on your windows. May get pretty rough there in Atlanta. :rolleyes:

JCS sure seems to post a lot in the wee hours of the night. While drunk.

[Mandibleclaw]

I didn't even know about this till I saw this thread, Gustav is an eerie name. Maybe I need to watch more television. :)

[Blue]

JCS sure seems to post a lot in the wee hours of the night. While drunk.

To be fair, they're fewer in between these days. I went out and had a grand ol time last night. It's a bad habit to get on here when I get home. I wish they'd just go ahead and ban me. They said they couldn't.

Anyway, I am concerned about my parents home living in Coastal Alabama. I hope this is only about a 2.

[SeattleOUstudent]

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07

[SeattleOUstudent]

NHC has been spot-on this season so far. Thats the red track. Watch out NOLA

[Okla-homey]

water temp is almost 85F off NOLA now. That is hurricane steroids.

http://tidesonline.nos.noaa.gov/geographic.html

[colleyvillesooner]

Man, I know it's far off and things can happen, but the models all have it tracking for LA. :O

[tommieharris91]

New Orleans is toast, again.

[colleyvillesooner]

It's prolly gonna hit the gulf Coast somewhere, so lets just hope for some weakening...


High-pressure "ridges" repel storms, so if the developing ridge north of Cuba is strong, Gustav could be deflected westward and into the central Gulf of Mexico, where vast stretches of warm water could supercharge the storm as it heads for the U.S. coast.

But if the high-pressure system wanes, Gustav could turn north, unimpeded, and move overland, across Cuba. The temporary lack of contact with warm water would deprive it of power.

[Jerk]

Halliburton is going to finish the job!

[OUWxGuesser]

Upper ocean heat content is better for determining hurricane "potential" rather than simply the surface temp. They churn up water pretty quick so you need to look at the warmth of the water down a ways. Based on below, I'd expect it to go gang busters if it can survive Cuba, then start weakening as it approaches the US coast.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2008239go.jpg

[tommieharris91]

Shouldn't it be going gangbusters already or does the thing have too much exposure to the islands right now? I'm not a meteorologist. Forgive me for sounding like a dumbass.

[OUTromBoNado]

Shouldn't it be going gangbusters already or does the thing have too much exposure to the islands right now? I'm not a meteorologist. Forgive me for sounding like a dumbass.

Yeah, it's pretty much gotten disrupted by going over Haiti. It could weaken even more if it goes over Jamaica and/or Cuba. Those areas are pretty rugged. Mountainous terrain rips tropical systems to shreds.

[OUHOMER]

Now we have TD 8, I hope they done meet inland, Could have rain for weeks over the eastern have to the U.S.

[SoonerStormchaser]

TD8 is probably gonna, at worst, skirt the Outer Banks.

[TMcGee86]

It's official, NOGAPS has it out for Houston.

[en4cer]

Then there were 2.

1. Gustav
2. Hanna

[colleyvillesooner]

Yep, that one updates on the first page of the thread, along with two others.

[JohnnyMack]

Yep, that one updates on the first page of the thread, along with two others.

La dee frickin' da

[SeattleOUstudent]

Bend over, Houston.

[OU-HSV]

My buddy has been down there in N.O. off and on for a while doing insurance adjusting and such for Katrina. He said they've already been talking about mandatory evacuations starting before long. Wonder how many people this time will ignore the evacuations if they go into effect

[S008NER]

Check out this storm model :eek:
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20 America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2008082812!!step

[Penguin]

Check out this storm model :eek:
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20 America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2008082812!!step (http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500%21Wind%20850%20and%20mslp%2172%21No rth%20America%21pop%21od%21oper%21public_plots%212 008082812%21%21step)


Wow. That would make for one interesting week! :D

[Tulsa_Fireman]

To Boobify the thread, I bring you former KJRH Tulsa channel 2 weather woman, Weather Channel storm diva, and National Guard hurricane airplane flyer thingy-person, Nicole Mitchell.

http://image.weather.com/web/aboutus/ocms/mitchell.jpg

Like a hammer on a nail.

[TheHumanAlphabet]

^^^

That did it right there sure enough...

[OUHOMER]

Check out this storm model :eek:
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20 America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2008082812!!step

****. N.O. meet Gustav and his sister Hanna.. :eek:

[Okla-homey]

Ibet they postpone the Pub convention over this.

[SoonerInKCMO]

Nah, it's been years since a hurricane hit St. Paul.

[SoonerStormchaser]

I'll take the current NOGAPS for $200, Alex!

[tommieharris91]

I'll take the current NOGAPS for $200, Alex!

Is NOGAPS NGPS in this link?

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07.gif

[SoonerStormchaser]

yep...it means more rain for us

[Blue]

Will the High pressure stall it? Weaken it? Veer it towards Houston or Mobile? Hmmm. Best case scenario is the forecast right now for no mans land Lousiana with the right side missing Lake Ponchatoula. We should all know though these tracks change day to day.

I like seeing a radar of a pefect hurricane, which this one will get close, but I also like seeing it die before it hits. I definitely don't like seeing my home beach rebuild for 4 years like after a Cat 3 Ivan busted up Gulf Shores a few years back.

[batonrougesooner]

Will the High pressure stall it? Weaken it? Veer it towards Houston or Mobile? Hmmm. Best case scenario is the forecast right now for no mans land Lousiana with the right side missing Lake Ponchatoula. We should all know though these tracks change day to day.

I like seeing a radar of a pefect hurricane, which this one will get close, but I also like seeing it die before it hits. I definitely don't like seeing my home beach rebuild for 4 years like after a Cat 3 Ivan busted up Gulf Shores a few years back.

Where the **** is lake Ponchatoula?

Have you bought your plywood from Home Depot yet?

[Blue]

Where the **** is lake Ponchatoula?

Have you bought your plywood from Home Depot yet?

What's your f'in problem? Ponchatrain. I was thinkin of an old buddies hometown.

Btw, I'm concerned about the coast of Alabama. Gulf Shores. Orange Beach. My hometown.

[batonrougesooner]

I'm just f'in with you man.

Pull your panties out of your rear or change your tampon.

People are so sensitive. :P

[Blue]

I'm just f'in with you man.

Pull your panties out of your rear or change your tampon.

People are so sensitive. :P

You forgot the rule. I can F w/ you, but you can't F w/ me. Learn it, love it. ;)

Btw, I was dealin w/ hurricanes on the GC when you were puttin plywood on the side of your crib. Oh snap.

[Flagstaffsooner]

Bend over, Houston.Maybe that will drive the NO deadbeats back to NO.

[Blue]

Maybe that will drive the NO deadbeats back to NO.

We blew up the Pascagoula and biloxi bridges on purpose. ;)

I'll never forget our Governor saying, "We'll help our neighbor (Miss) and Texas can help theirs. How'd that work out, Houston? :D

[OUHOMER]

This model has changed, starts with Gustav hitting tx/LA. with Hanna going up the Fl gulf coast, followed by a 3rd storm:eek:

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20 America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2008083000!!step/

[colleyvillesooner]

Looks like a wet second game against Cincy.

And possible me tropical storm winds in Dallas. :eek:

[OUHOMER]

Looks like a wet second game against Cincy.

And possible me tropical storm winds in Dallas. :eek:

I hope not. we fly out of OKC saturday morning into DFW to Cancun. :mad:

[SoonerStormchaser]

Heh...my squadron just got activated to head down there for airspace C&C starting on Tuesday. No trip to the parents' house this weekend for us!

[TheHumanAlphabet]

Is NOGAPS NGPS in this link?

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07.gif

I love the XTRP model - extrapolate...straight line, where's the science in that???

[tommieharris91]

I love the XTRP model - extrapolate...straight line, where's the science in that???

That model had Gustav going to South America a few times.

[Mandibleclaw]

Well Gustav just blew up to a Cat3, so these models are all predicting after 2 more days in the open warm waters of the Gulf that it's going to stay at 3.

[JohnnyMack]

just hit cat. 4

[JohnnyMack]

Ibet they postpone the Pub convention over this.

Easier said than done.

[en4cer]

I'm seeing cat5 reports now.

Wow.

[SeattleOUstudent]

http://www.storm2k.org/weather//images/tropical/plotsystemforecast_NT_2008_7_atlantic_merc_o2560x1 920_478_M1122_095_M0522_1280x960_640_480.jpg

[SeattleOUstudent]

http://www.storm2k.org/weather//images/tropical/plotsystemmodels_NT_2008_7_atlantic_merc_o1440x108 0_555_M1122_M127_M0056_1280x960_640_480.jpg

[SeattleOUstudent]

Dallas could see tropical storm force winds.

[Sooner98]

If the eye hits the middle part of the southern shore of Louisiana, what exactly does that mean for New Orleans? What kind of damage will they be looking at this time?

[r5TPsooner]

If the eye hits the middle part of the southern shore of Louisiana, what exactly does that mean for New Orleans? What kind of damage will they be looking at this time?

If it strengthens like they are predicting in the warm waters of The Gulf of Mexico, then it will be stronger than Katrina. The storm went from tropical to a category 4 in 24 hours according to CNN. It weakened as the eye hit Cuba but they are expecting it to keep gaining strength as it approaches the US coast line.

Not looking good at all.

[BigRedJed]

If the eye hits the middle part of the southern shore of Louisiana, what exactly does that mean for New Orleans? What kind of damage will they be looking at this time?
Everybody I know with hurricane experience says that getting hit by the eastern edge (as could happend to NOLA based on projections) is the worst possible situation. The tragic Katrina result in NOLA was mostly man-made (due to the decades of graft and redirected funds that should have been used to shore up levees), and all of the politicking post-Katrina obscured where most of the real HURRICANE damage happened: Mississippi.

If the current scenario plays out, there is a possibility NOLA could be for real finito. Erased. Effed in the Ay.

:gary:

[tommieharris91]

Losses totaling in the trillions would be a sad thing. That could happen if NO was wiped off the map by this storm.

[Mandibleclaw]

The question is, if as a taxpayer you are asked and I know you aren't, should your money be used to rebuild? I would have to say strongly no this time.

[StormySooner-IN]

Whatever happens.....I hope the remmants bring up some much needed rain to the indy area. ;)

[aurorasooner]

I was just looking at the New Orleans--Louisiana DOT traffic cams (link) & I expected to see a lot more traffic. Just looking at the traffic flow, I would guess everyone has already left. http://www.dotd.louisiana.gov/press/traffic_cameras/cameras_no.asp?camera=Cam1

[StoopTroup]

We should build a bubble around Bourbon Street.

[GrapevineSooner]

We should build a bubble around Bourbon Street.

Call the EPA.

If they can put one over Springfield... ;)

[en4cer]

NOLA live coverage...

http://www.wdsu.com/video/17347538/index.html

[SeattleOUstudent]

starting to look slightly better for LA. Doubt it will be a 4 when it comes ashore now.

[Sooner98]

So, does this mean Kansas City will be getting an NBA team now? ;)

[colleyvillesooner]

starting to look slightly better for LA. Doubt it will be a 4 when it comes ashore now.

gonna be close to a four though...

[GrapevineSooner]

starting to look slightly better for LA. Doubt it will be a 4 when it comes ashore now.

Well, Katrina was a 3 when it hit and it still caused flooding.

If there's any good news about Gustav, it's that it'll be east of NOLA when it makes landfall and thus, Pontchartrain won't be inundated with the heavy rainfall that typically occurs on the west side of a hurricane.

They'll still have to worry about high winds though. Which could still push some water out of Pontchartrain.

Though the latest readings here show that it's now dropped to a category 3 (http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormhistory.php?storm=7) hurricane. Expected to reintensify though.

[colleyvillesooner]

yeah, it should return to a 4 by this afternoon/evening they think.

[Mandibleclaw]

Hmmm, most the forecasts have it centered to make landfall west of NO. Is not the east side of the hurricane that packs the most punch? If so, this can't be good.

[en4cer]

Hmmm, most the forecasts have it centered to make landfall west of NO. Is not the east side of the hurricane that packs the most punch? If so, this can't be good.


Ya, true. At least the storm surge estimates are being lowered now. 12-16 ft..

Its still gonna be a strong hit.

After landfall, its starting to look more and more like Gustav will take a more westward track. SE OK may get some rain outa this.

[aurorasooner]

I was just looking at this computer model which runs through Fri and it shows Gustav stalling in N. Texas still as a tropical depression. Do the Oklahoma local weather guys think this low pressure will still be hanging around Oklahoma next Saturday for the OU/Cincy game? http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_v5d.html?extraprod=v5d#a_topadhttp://img293.imageshack.us/img293/8642/gustavgiftk1.gif

[Mandibleclaw]

When those storm systems start being influenced by fronts from the North, anything beyond a 24 hour forecast is a dart throw IMO.

[colleyvillesooner]

looks like it will only hit as a 3, but with the east wall hitting NO, that's not good..

[en4cer]

Uh oh..

http://i38.tinypic.com/15gxvyo.gif

[SeattleOUstudent]

Great. This thing is going to stall over Dallas

http://www.storm2k.org/weather//images/tropical/plotsystemforecastsm_nt_2008_7_atlantic_merc_o1920 x1440_425_M1122_M127_M0322_1280x960_480_360.jpg

[Rogue]

Federal workers (a few of mine) are en route to Texas as I type in preparation for relief work.

[SicEmBaylor]

I'm going to go out on a limb here and predict that this thing will weaken drastically as it comes inland. I think it'll hit as a Category 2, miss New Orleans, and the damage will be what you would expect but nothing approaching catastrophic.

[en4cer]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-rb.html


Just stay off those massive limbs.

[StoopTroup]

I'm going to go out on a limb here and predict that this thing will weaken drastically as it comes inland. I think it'll hit as a Category 2, miss New Orleans, and the damage will be what you would expect but nothing approaching catastrophic.

You might want to stick to the politcal threads....lol :D

[Mandibleclaw]

Thanx for the NOAA link, this mofo is headed straight for NO.

[Penguin]

I just checked with the folks in Baton Rouge. Everybody is hunkering down and it sounds like they have plenty of food and water.

They aren't scared of hurricanes. They respect them, though.

[Penguin]

BTW, for you insomniacs, you can watch Channel 2 in Baton Rouge via the innerwebs. They'll be broadcasting all night.

Linky (http://www.2theadvocate.com/wbrz/videos/live/27725044.html)

[GottaHavePride]

They aren't scared of hurricanes. They respect them, though.

OK, seriously. I would LOVE it if someone riding the hurrican out down there had painted 6 foot tall letters on the side of a building, facing the hurricane, saying AIN'T SKEERED.

[SeattleOUstudent]

storm chasing a hurricane did cross my mind.

[proud gonzo]

OK, seriously. I would LOVE it if someone riding the hurrican out down there had painted 6 foot tall letters on the side of a building, facing the hurricane, saying AIN'T SKEERED.dude, I'd totally do that.

[Soonerus]

Do you really think this is the "mother of all storms"...

[tommieharris91]

Do you really think this is the "mother of all storms"...
No...

[Penguin]

OK, seriously. I would LOVE it if someone riding the hurrican out down there had painted 6 foot tall letters on the side of a building, facing the hurricane, saying AIN'T SKEERED.


Dude, I'm talking about Baton Rouge. It's 100 miles inland and 70 feet above sea level.

[GottaHavePride]

O I C.

Yeah, the big ain't skeered sign needs to go right up on the coast.

[Blue]

Looks like a miss(as far as cat4 or 5 and populated areas) and NO and places east will get alot of rain and water. This guy should be worried though,

http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y25/Hhyaena/adamsandlerthewaterboy.jpg

[Echoes]

It's really glad to see everyone being proactive about this.. Nice to know hopefully we won't see another New Orleans.

[Penguin]

This is pretty neat. Here in Houston, there are piping in WWL-TV from New Orleans on digital channel 11-2.

[Soonerus]

No...

me neither...

[Veritas]

Looks like a miss(as far as cat4 or 5 and populated areas) and NO and places east will get alot of rain and water.
Where you getting this info...everything I'm looking at is still doing the OMGITSTHEMOTHEROFALLMUHFUGGINGSTORMSRUNFORYOURLIFE ILIKECHIKFILAORYOUWILLDIE!

[Blue]

Where you getting this info...everything I'm looking at is still doing the OMGITSTHEMOTHEROFALLMUHFUGGINGSTORMSRUNFORYOURLIFE ILIKECHIKFILAORYOUWILLDIE!

It'll cause damage, but a weak cat 3 that's not very big (as far as width) won't be a killer. Although a few idiots near the eye on the coast will die. One of my buddies mom drowned n Hurricane Ivan. The idiots stayed in Orange Beach and the surge swept them out into Perdido Bay. They found his dad clinging to a tree two miles north. Ivan took Gulf Shores about 4 years to rebuild from completely. This storm reminds me of it, except it looks like the places that will get the most wind are not that populous or built up. It will suck for them though.

[Blue]

This is pretty neat. Here in Houston, there are piping in WWL-TV from New Orleans on digital channel 11-2.

Directv chan 361 has local N.O. news on. Nice add.

[trwxxa]

They just showed some video (Direct TV 361) of the Industrial Canal and it is almost to the top. They were interviewing the Mayor and he pretty much admitted the water will come over the top. Hopefully it does not breach, again.

[Sooner98]

Apparently there is a barge that came loose and they are worried it could pierce one of the levees. Fox News has a shot of the Industrial Canal and the water is pretty much at the top.

[swardboy]

Pretty cool on FoxNews...Geraldo caught a corps of engineer dude in the Industrial Canal tying some kind of potentially explosive tank in order to keep it away from the canal wall...brave guy. He was pulled safely back to ship.

[SicEmBaylor]

I'm going to go out on a limb here and predict that this thing will weaken drastically as it comes inland. I think it'll hit as a Category 2, miss New Orleans, and the damage will be what you would expect but nothing approaching catastrophic.

OH OH OH

I think someone was pretty close to being right!

[Penguin]

I just called my sister in Baton Rouge. It sounds like they got it worse than New Orleans. A tree branch blew in an hour ago and busted their new bay window. She wasn't very happy about that!

They lost their power around 10am. And to top it off, a huge oak tree came crashing down in the front of their neighborhood and busted a water main. So, nobody has any water! Luckily, they have plenty of bottled water and they have an above-ground pool, so they are using that water to flush the toilets.

At last report, my dad is on the phone fussing at the power company for not fixing the power lines immediately. Who cares if there are 75mph gusts out there? Fix the lines!!! We need A/C!!! :D

[BigRedJed]

Wait a minute. Are you saying they are using their pool for a toilet?

[Penguin]

Well, why not? Their pet alligator uses it all of the time.

[StoopTroup]

No kidding Penguin....CNN is playing footage from Baton Rouge...

It's pretty bad.

Looks like Gustave has kind of stalled right there.

[StoopTroup]

I'm going to go out on a limb here and predict that this thing will weaken drastically as it comes inland. I think it'll hit as a Category 2, miss New Orleans, and the damage will be what you would expect but nothing approaching catastrophic.

OK you might have gotten lucky with the Cat 2...but remember...the levees gave out the day after Katrina. :pop:

[swardboy]

1.9 million people evacuated, and so far not a single case of looting...unbelievable.

Two levees built by local parishes are in danger of breaching... still not over.