oudivesherpa
1/12/2008, 10:47 AM
BCS CHAMPIONSHIPS + COACHING EXPERIENCE
There has been a lot of discussion on this and other message board lately on the value of motivation versus experience in molding a national championship. In the ten years since the BCS began, ten different coaches have won the BCS title at nine different schools.
The average length of tenure was 5 ½ years of coaching at that school before winning the title. If we exclude the longest and the shortest(23 years for Bobby Bowden and one year for Larry Coker) the average length of time is 3.9 years before a coach wins a NC. Let’s also point out that each school that has won the BCS has a storied football history—no real surprises in wining the NC—no Okie States, no Baylor’s.
SEASON SCHOOL COACH YRS AS HC/AT THAT SCHOOL
1998 TENN PHIL FLUMER 6 YRS
1999 FSU BOBBY BOWDEN 23 YRS
2000 OU BOB STOOPS 2 YRS
2001 MIA LARRY COKER 1 YRS
2002 tOSU JIM TRESSEL 2 YRS
2003 LSU NICK SABAN 4 YRS
2004 USC PETE CARROLL 4 YRS
2005 TEX MACK BROWN 8 YRS
2006 FLA URBAN MYER 2 YRS
2007 LSU LES MILES 3 YRS
While correlation is not causation, there appears to be a strong trend for new coaches coming into a quality program and winning the NC. If this trend continues, in the next four years we could expect to see a Rich Rodriquez, Bill Stewart, Randy Shannon or a Charlie Weis win the national title. If this is just a random set of numbers we would expect to see more mature coaches with longer tenure at their schools win the NC, such as Joe Paterno or Tommy Bowden.
Does some of the fire leave coaches after the win the Big One?
There has been a lot of discussion on this and other message board lately on the value of motivation versus experience in molding a national championship. In the ten years since the BCS began, ten different coaches have won the BCS title at nine different schools.
The average length of tenure was 5 ½ years of coaching at that school before winning the title. If we exclude the longest and the shortest(23 years for Bobby Bowden and one year for Larry Coker) the average length of time is 3.9 years before a coach wins a NC. Let’s also point out that each school that has won the BCS has a storied football history—no real surprises in wining the NC—no Okie States, no Baylor’s.
SEASON SCHOOL COACH YRS AS HC/AT THAT SCHOOL
1998 TENN PHIL FLUMER 6 YRS
1999 FSU BOBBY BOWDEN 23 YRS
2000 OU BOB STOOPS 2 YRS
2001 MIA LARRY COKER 1 YRS
2002 tOSU JIM TRESSEL 2 YRS
2003 LSU NICK SABAN 4 YRS
2004 USC PETE CARROLL 4 YRS
2005 TEX MACK BROWN 8 YRS
2006 FLA URBAN MYER 2 YRS
2007 LSU LES MILES 3 YRS
While correlation is not causation, there appears to be a strong trend for new coaches coming into a quality program and winning the NC. If this trend continues, in the next four years we could expect to see a Rich Rodriquez, Bill Stewart, Randy Shannon or a Charlie Weis win the national title. If this is just a random set of numbers we would expect to see more mature coaches with longer tenure at their schools win the NC, such as Joe Paterno or Tommy Bowden.
Does some of the fire leave coaches after the win the Big One?